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广东省人民政府首页  >  要闻动态  >  广东要闻

“美国优先”前景黯淡

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年09月24日 02:02:31
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(原)(标)(题)(:“美)(国)(优)(先)(”前)(景)(黯)(淡)(合)(作)(共)(赢)(是)(不)(二)(选)(择)(
只)(要)(摒)(弃)(零)(和)(博)(弈)(思)(维)(,秉)(持)(合)(作)(共)(赢)(原)(则)(,相)(向)(而)(行)(,中)(美)(关)(系)(将)(实)(现)(平)(稳)(过)(渡)(,保)(持)(稳)(定)(和)(健)(康)(的)(发)(展)(。
本)(报)(记)(者)(张)(娜)(
由)(国)(务)(院)(发)(展)(研)(究)(中)(心)(主)(办)(的)(中)(国)(发)(展)(高)(层)(论)(坛)(2017年)(会)(经)(济)(峰)(会)(3月)(18日)(在)(北)(京)(钓)(鱼)(台)(国)(宾)(馆)(举)(行)(。
在)(当)(天)(的)(峰)(会)(分)(组)(会)(上)(,诺)(贝)(尔)(经)(济)(学)(获)(得)(者)(、美)(国)(哥)(伦)(比)(亚)(大)(学)(教)(授)(埃)(德)(蒙)(·费)(尔)(普)(斯)(、美)(国)(安)(利)(公)(司)(总)(裁)(德)(·狄)(维)(士)(、美)(国)(斯)(坦)(福)(大)(学)(胡)(佛)(研)(究)(所)(高)(级)(研)(究)(员)(尼)(尔)(·弗)(格)(森)(、IDG资)(本)(全)(球)(董)(事)(长)(熊)(晓)(鸽)(四)(位)(嘉)(宾)(略)(过)(个)(人)(发)(言)(,直)(接)(进)(入)(对)(“美)(国)(优)(先)(”的)(前)(景)(及)(全)(球)(影)(响)(这)(一)(主)(题)(的)(讨)(论)(。
所)(谓)(“美)(国)(优)(先)(”,指)(美)(国)(总)(统)(特)(朗)(普)(在)(就)(职)(演)(讲)(中)(表)(示)(,他)(领)(导)(下)(的)(美)(国)(政)(府)(提)(出)(的)(所)(有)(关)(于)(贸)(易)(、税)(收)(、移)(民)(和)(外)(交)(等)(政)(策)(都)(将)(致)(力)(于)(使)(美)(国)(工)(人)(和)(美)(国)(家)(庭)(受)(益)(。他)(还)(强)(调)(,“购)(买)(美)(国)(货)(”和)(“雇)(用)(美)(国)(人)(”将)(是)(其)(执)(政)(的)(两)(大)(准)(则)(。
分)(组)(会)(上)(,嘉)(宾)(们)(对)(“美)(国)(优)(先)(”的)(前)(景)(一)(致)(不)(看)(好)(。
“美)(国)(优)(先)(”前)(景)(不)(容)(乐)(观)(
尼)(尔)(·弗)(格)(森)(认)(为)(,在)(很)(多)(方)(面)(,特)(朗)(普)(是)(一)(个)(非)(常)(典)(型)(的)(美)(国)(“民)(粹)(主)(义)(者)(”,很)(多)(做)(法)(、提)(议)(是)(没)(有)(办)(法)(在)(现)(实)(当)(中)(兑)(现)(的)(,比)(如)(提)(高)(关)(税)(或)(者)(禁)(止)(移)(民)(。其)(实)(,这)(种)(做)(法)(并)(没)(有)(办)(法)(产)(生)(他)(在)(向)(他)(的)(选)(民)(许)(诺)(的)(那)(些)(经)(济)(上)(的)(成)(果)(。
尼)(尔)(·弗)(格)(森)(表)(示)(,对)(特)(朗)(普)(来)(说)(,要)(履)(行)(他)(在)(竞)(选)(期)(间)(的)(理)(念)(,既)(要)(实)(现)(美)(国)(的)(经)(济)(翻)(番)(增)(长)(,又)(要)(实)(现)(美)(国)(经)(济)(的)(大)(发)(展)(,这)(两)(者)(同)(时)(做)(到)(几)(乎)(是)(不)(可)(能)(的)(。
费)(尔)(普)(斯)(并)(不)(认)(为)(特)(朗)(普)(是)(一)(个)(民)(粹)(主)(义)(者)(,但)(通)(过)(操)(纵)(或)(“威)(胁)(”公)(司)(来)(增)(加)(投)(资)(、创)(造)(更)(多)(的)(就)(业)(,与)(特)(定)(历)(史)(人)(物)(有)(相)(似)(性)(。
“特)(朗)(普)(政)(府)(也)(有)(可)(能)(出)(现)(这)(样)(的)(情)(况)(,经)(济)(减)(缓)(会)(持)(续)(下)(去)(,甚)(至)(有)(可)(能)(出)(现)(像)(过)(去)(生)(产)(力)(进)(一)(步)(下)(滑)(的)(情)(况)(。”费)(尔)(普)(斯)(评)(价)(认)(为)(,特)(朗)(普)(对)(于)(经)(济)(的)(现)(状)(判)(断)(还)(存)(在)(偏)(差)(,“他)(应)(该)(和)(经)(济)(学)(的)(专)(业)(人)(士)(更)(多)(地)(沟)(通)(,在)(中)(部)(地)(区)(创)(造)(就)(业)(机)(会)(,特)(朗)(普)(又)(说)(贸)(易)(有)(很)(多)(问)(题)(,实)(际)(上)(并)(不)(是)(真)(正)(的)(问)(题)(,他)(把)(一)(些)(表)(象)(给)(混)(淆)(了)(。”
“特)(朗)(普)(政)(府)(在)(经)(济)(上)(可)(能)(会)(进)(行)(干)(预)(,但)(美)(国)(宪)(法)(对)(总)(统)(的)(权)(力)(是)(有)(很)(大)(限)(制)(的)(。美)(国)(仍)(然)(是)(一)(个)(宪)(法)(的)(民)(主)(主)(义)(国)(家)(。特)(朗)(普)(在)(总)(统)(任)(期)(内)(不)(可)(能)(真)(正)(兑)(现)(他)(在)(选)(举)(的)(时)(候)(所)(作)(的)(承)(诺)(。”尼)(尔)(·弗)(格)(森)(表)(示)(,对)(特)(朗)(普)(政)(府)(而)(言)(,要)(做)(核)(心)(制)(造)(业)(很)(难)(,这)(不)(仅)(涉)(及)(到)(全)(球)(化)(的)(问)(题)(,还)(有)(技)(术)(的)(变)(革)(,振)(兴)(制)(造)(业)(很)(难)(。现)(在)(美)(国)(的)(西)(部)(由)(于)(自)(动)(化)(技)(术)(的)(发)(展)(,也)(难)(以)(创)(造)(那)(么)(多)(的)(就)(业)(机)(会)(了)(,所)(以)(“美)(国)(优)(先)(”这)(个)(政)(策)(要)(真)(正)(地)(执)(行)(起)(来)(很)(难)(。
德)(·狄)(维)(士)(认)(为)(,“美)(国)(优)(先)(”政)(策)(其)(实)(是)(有)(很)(多)(民)(众)(支)(持)(的)(。美)(国)(很)(多)(州)(都)(希)(望)(减)(少)(监)(管)(,因)(为)(每)(次)(进)(行)(投)(资)(的)(时)(候)(,都)(要)(请)(一)(大)(帮)(律)(师)(团)(队)(来)(研)(究)(监)(管)(制)(度)(,以)(便)(能)(够)(达)(到)(合)(规)(要)(求)(。
德)(·狄)(维)(士)(以)(安)(利)(为)(例)(,认)(为)(美)(国)(在)(贸)(易)(方)(面)(非)(常)(国)(际)(化)(。而)(“美)(国)(优)(先)(”是)(特)(朗)(普)(所)(提)(出)(的)(,希)(望)(能)(够)(团)(结)(在)(美)(国)(本)(地)(及)(在)(美)(投)(资)(的)(跨)(国)(企)(业)(。
合)(作)(共)(赢)(应)(是)(美)(国)(不)(二)(选)(择)(
比)(起)(讨)(论)(“美)(国)(优)(先)(”本)(身)(的)(是)(与)(非)(,德)(·狄)(维)(士)(更)(关)(心)(,在)(“美)(国)(优)(先)(”政)(策)(下)(,如)(何)(让)(企)(业)(界)(和)(决)(策)(者)(进)(行)(有)(效)(地)(合)(作)(和)(对)(话)(,这)(样)(能)(够)(相)(互)(合)(作)(,建)(立)(起)(一)(些)(互)(利)(共)(赢)(的)(政)(策)(,不)(管)(是)(在)(投)(资)(方)(面)(,还)(是)(在)(贸)(易)(方)(面)(,能)(够)(建)(立)(起)(相)(关)(的)(规)(则)(,使)(得)(投)(资)(和)(创)(新)(能)(够)(在)(全)(球)(自)(由)(地)(流)(动)(。
有)(分)(析)(认)(为)(,“美)(国)(优)(先)(”将)(动)(摇)(现)(存)(的)(全)(球)(经)(济)(和)(地)(缘)(政)(治)(格)(局)(,未)(来)(世)(界)(是)(走)(向)(繁)(荣)(与)(和)(平)(的)(新)(框)(架)(,还)(是)(陷)(入)(动)(荡)(与)(混)(乱)(的)(泥)(沼)(,充)(满)(不)(确)(定)(性)(。
现)(在)(“美)(国)(优)(先)(”被)(视)(作)(有)(点)(孤)(立)(主)(义)(的)(政)(策)(,但)(是)(至)(少)(特)(朗)(普)(作)(为)(美)(国)(总)(统)(,很)(难)(真)(正)(当)(一)(个)(孤)(立)(主)(义)(者)(,正)(如)(尼)(尔)(·弗)(格)(森)(所)(言)(,“你)(可)(能)(对)(世)(界)(不)(感)(兴)(趣)(,但)(是)(世)(界)(对)(你)(是)(感)(兴)(趣)(的)(,你)(不)(得)(不)(去)(面)(对)(那)(些)(世)(界)(上)(的)(问)(题)(,你)(把)(美)(国)(放)(在)(第)(一)(位)(,其)(他)(国)(家)(到)(底)(谁)(是)(第)(二)(、第)(三)(、第)(四)(呢)(?”
在)(熊)(晓)(鸽)(看)(来)(,“特)(朗)(普)(是)(一)(个)(很)(犀)(利)(的)(生)(意)(人)(,但)(是)(在)(制)(造)(业)(方)(面)(,他)(并)(不)(是)(专)(家)(,美)(国)(制)(造)(业)(真)(正)(的)(竞)(争)(优)(势)(在)(哪)(里)(?他)(必)(须)(要)(和)(像)(中)(国)(,甚)(至)(像)(墨)(西)(哥)(这)(样)(的)(国)(家)(来)(合)(作)(,这)(才)(是)(一)(种)(互)(利)(的)(关)(系)(。”他)(说)(,“对)(特)(朗)(普)(的)(‘美)(国)(优)(先)(’政)(策)(,中)(国)(也)(不)(需)(要)(担)(心)(,我)(们)(现)(在)(还)(没)(有)(看)(到)(真)(正)(的)(系)(列)(政)(策)(出)(台)(,他)(是)(一)(个)(生)(意)(人)(,需)(要)(时)(间)(慢)(慢)(地)(学)(习)(和)(了)(解)(,如)(何)(能)(够)(和)(像)(中)(国)(这)(样)(的)(国)(家)(之)(间)(实)(现)(一)(种)(互)(利)(互)(惠)(的)(关)(系)(,作)(出)(一)(种)(聪)(明)(的)(安)(排)(。”
尼)(尔)(·弗)(格)(森)(认)(为)(,特)(朗)(普)(上)(台)(以)(来)(,基)(本)(上)(还)(是)(一)(个)(非)(常)(务)(实)(的)(态)(度)(,实)(际)(上)(美)(中)(关)(系)(已)(经)(比)(过)(去)(几)(个)(月)(,比)(很)(多)(人)(预)(测)(的)(要)(好)(了)(。
习)(近)(平)(主)(席)(同)(特)(朗)(普)(通)(电)(话)(中)(指)(出)(,“合)(作)(是)(中)(美)(两)(国)(唯)(一)(的)(正)(确)(选)(择)(”。这)(句)(话)(不)(仅)(是)(对)(中)(美)(关)(系)(历)(史)(的)(总)(结)(,也)(是)(为)(未)(来)(双)(边)(关)(系)(发)(展)(指)(明)(了)(方)(向)(。有)(分)(析)(认)(为)(,只)(要)(摒)(弃)(零)(和)(博)(弈)(思)(维)(,秉)(持)(合)(作)(共)(赢)(原)(则)(,相)(向)(而)(行)(,中)(美)(关)(系)(将)(实)(现)(平)(稳)(过)(渡)(,保)(持)(稳)(定)(和)(健)(康)(的)(发)(展)(。返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
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